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Subject: When did the early 90's recession start?

Written By: batfan2005 on 09/18/06 at 5:22 pm

Does anybody remember when the early 90's recession officially started, was it 1990 or 1991?

Subject: Re: When did the early 90's recession start?

Written By: Tanya1976 on 09/18/06 at 7:16 pm

neither around 1988/89

Subject: Re: When did the early 90's recession start?

Written By: Chris MegatronTHX on 09/18/06 at 8:37 pm

yeah 1989 sounds right to me.

Subject: Re: When did the early 90's recession start?

Written By: rich1981 on 09/18/06 at 10:20 pm

The stock crash "Black Monday" in 1987 was probably the first sign of the coming recession, but it was in full swing the year or two later.

Subject: Re: When did the early 90's recession start?

Written By: Foo Bar on 09/18/06 at 10:33 pm


Does anybody remember when the early 90's recession officially started, was it 1990 or 1991?


Correct!  A recession requires two or more successive quarters of declining GDP (Gross Domestic Product).  In the US, the recession you're talking about started in 3Q90 and ended in 1Q91.

http://www.nber.org/cycles/

The popular buzzword at the time was "jobless recovery" - and much like the (1Q01-4Q02) recession of 2001, the man on the street felt like the recession started a lot earlier, and lasted a lot longer, than it actually did.

Economist:  Man on the street
Slowdown:  When people lose their jobs.
Recession:  When someone you know loses his/her job.
Depression:  When you lose your job!

Black Monday was a nasty correction in stocks -- but it was the best buying opportunity of the 1980s.  There were recessions elsewhere in the world.  The US economy was pretty shaky.  But it didn't (technically) fall into recession.

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